Timeline

From the debt crisis to the tariffs: 1982 to 2025

Nineteen turning points, each dated as precisely as its sources allow, each with the numbers it moved where the data reach that far. The chart puts them on the long line of Mexico's growth; the list explains them.

Mexico's real GDP growth, 1961 to 2025, with the events below
GrowthContraction%

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Mexico's real GDP growth, 1961 to 2025, with the events belowAnnual real GDP growth in percent; numbered dashed lines mark the timeline events.-10%-5%0%5%10%19611965197019751980198519901995200020052010201520202025123456,7,8910,111213141516171819

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (updated 8 Oct 2026; CC BY 4.0)

Consumer price inflation, 1960 to 2025
Inflation%

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Consumer price inflation, 1960 to 2025Annual change in consumer prices, percent.0%50%100%196019651970197519801985199019952000200520102015202020253910

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators (updated 8 Oct 2026; CC BY 4.0)

Data table
YearReal GDP growth %Inflation %
19604.9
19615.01.6
19624.71.2
19638.10.6
196411.92.3
19657.13.6
19666.14.2
19675.93.0
19689.42.3
19693.43.4
19706.55.0
19713.85.5
19728.24.9
19737.912.1
19745.823.8
19755.714.9
19764.415.8
19773.429.1
19789.017.5
19799.718.2
19808.826.4
19819.627.9
19820.058.9
1983-4.6101.9
19843.565.4
19851.957.7
1986-3.986.2
19872.1131.8
19881.2114.2
19893.620.0
19905.326.7
19914.022.7
19923.615.5
19932.99.8
19944.47.0
1995-5.935.0
19966.234.4
19977.220.6
19986.215.9
19992.816.6
20005.09.5
2001-0.56.4
2002-0.25.0
20031.24.5
20043.64.7
20052.14.0
20064.83.6
20072.14.0
20080.95.1
2009-6.35.3
20105.04.2
20113.43.4
20123.64.1
20130.93.8
20142.54.0
20152.72.7
20161.82.8
20171.96.0
20182.04.9
2019-0.43.6
2020-8.43.4
20216.05.7
20223.77.9
20233.15.5
20241.44.7
20250.63.8

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1
August 1982

The debt crisis

Mexico tells its creditors it cannot keep paying its foreign debt, opening the Latin American debt crisis. On 1 September the outgoing president announces the nationalisation of the banks. The old model of a closed, oil-financed economy ends here, which is why this record starts in 1982.

Real GDP growth: 9.6% in 1981, -0.05% in 1982, -4.6% in 1983. Inflation: 101.9% in 1983. (World Bank WDI, read 23 October 2026)
3
15 December 1987

The Economic Solidarity Pact

Government, business and labour sign a pact on wages, prices and the exchange rate to break an inflation that reached 132% that year. Inflation falls to about 20% by 1989.

Consumer price inflation: 131.8% in 1987, 114.2% in 1988, 20.0% in 1989. (World Bank WDI, read 23 October 2026)
6
1 January 1994

NAFTA enters into force

The North American Free Trade Agreement, signed on 17 December 1992, takes effect between Mexico, the United States and Canada. In 1993 trade in goods between Mexico and the USA was about $81 billion; the chart on the next page shows what followed.

USA–Mexico goods trade: $81.5 billion in 1993, $247.3 billion in 2000, $871.6 billion in 2025. (U.S. Census Bureau, read 23 October 2026)
9
20 December 1994 to 31 January 1995

The peso crisis

On 20 December the government widens the peso's band; on 22 December the peso floats. On 31 January 1995 Washington announces a rescue: $20 billion from the U.S. Exchange Stabilization Fund inside an international package of about $50 billion. The economy shrinks in 1995 and inflation returns to about 35%.

Real GDP growth in 1995: -5.9%. Inflation: 35.0%. Pesos per dollar: 3.38 in 1994, 6.42 in 1995. (World Bank WDI, read 23 October 2026)
12
2008 to 2009

The global financial crisis

The crisis that begins in the U.S. housing market reaches Mexico through trade and remittances. Real GDP falls in 2009 by the amount shown below: the deepest fall in this record until 2020.

Real GDP growth in 2009: -6.3%. Remittances: $27.1 billion in 2008, $22.9 billion in 2009. (World Bank WDI, read 23 October 2026)
17
2023

Mexico becomes the USA's largest trading partner in goods

For the full year, U.S. trade in goods with Mexico passes trade with Canada and with China. Census Bureau totals for 2023 as first published in February 2024: Mexico $798.8 billion, Canada $774.3 billion, China $575.0 billion (our trade table carries the revised Mexico figure, $797.3 billion).

This timeline ends with the last complete year. Events of the current year are added once the year closes, with their sources, so the record never runs ahead of its evidence.